Expected DA from July, 2019: 7th CPC - 16% or 17% and 6th CPC 163% or 164%
DA from July, 2019 is expected to be 16% with 4% increase in existing rate of 7th CPC Pay structure & 163% with 9% increase in 6th CPC pay structure.
This speculations are based on All India Consumer Price (Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] for April, 2019 released by Labour Bureau. But if the trend of increase in CPI(IW) in future two months then DA for Central Govt Employees and DR for Pensioners will enhance the above expectation and 7th CPC DA will be 17% with 5% increase and 6th CPC DA will be 164% with 10% increase in existing rate of 12% and 154% respectively.
DA from July, 2019 is expected to be 16% with 4% increase in existing rate of 7th CPC Pay structure & 163% with 9% increase in 6th CPC pay structure.
This speculations are based on All India Consumer Price (Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] for April, 2019 released by Labour Bureau. But if the trend of increase in CPI(IW) in future two months then DA for Central Govt Employees and DR for Pensioners will enhance the above expectation and 7th CPC DA will be 17% with 5% increase and 6th CPC DA will be 164% with 10% increase in existing rate of 12% and 154% respectively.
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The revised Dearness Allowance for the second half of the year is enhancing the previous increase trend of 3%. Monthly Dearness Allowance and Transport Allowance will enhanced from this increase in DA and pensioners will also be benefited by this increase.
DA from July, 2019 calculated to be 16% or 17% in 7th CPC & 163% or 164% in 6th CPC pay structure with AICPIN of April-2019 may be understand through three different situation/event from undermentioned table:-
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Expected Dearness Allowance from July, 2019 - Table by www.staffnews.in | |||||||||
Expect- ation | Increase/ Decrease in Index | Month | Base Year 2001 = 100 | Total of 12 Months | Twelve Monthly Average | % Increase Over 115.76 For 6 CPC DA | % Increase Over 261.42 For 7 CPC DA | 6CPC DA announced or will be announced | 7CPC DA announced or will be announced |
Dearness Allowance/ Relief from Jan-2019 | 154% | 12% | |||||||
6 | Jan,19 | 307 | 3557 | 296.42 | 156.06% | 13.39% | |||
0 | Feb,19 | 307 | 3577 | 298.08 | 157.50% | 14.02% | |||
2 | Mar,19 | 309 | 3599 | 299.92 | 159.08% | 14.73% | |||
3 | Apr,19 | 312 | 3623 | 301.92 | 160.81% | 15.49% | |||
1st Event | -2 | May,19 | 310 | 3644 | 303.67 | 162.32% | 16.16% | +9% | +4% |
-2 | Jun,19 | 308 | 3661 | 305.08 | 163.55% | 16.70% | |||
Expected Dearness Allowance/ Relief from Jul-2019 | 163% | 16% | |||||||
2nd Event | 0 | May,19 | 312 | 3646 | 303.83 | 162.47% | 16.22% | +9% | +4% |
0 | Jun,19 | 312 | 3667 | 305.58 | 163.98% | 16.89% | |||
Expected Dearness Allowance/ Relief from Jul-2019 | 163% | 16% | |||||||
3rd Event | 2 | May,19 | 314 | 3648 | 304.00 | 162.61% | 16.29% | +10% | +5% |
0 | Jun,19 | 314 | 3671 | 305.92 | 164.27% | 17.02% | |||
Expected Dearness Allowance/ Relief from Jul-2019 | 164% | 17% | |||||||
7th CPC Dearness Allowance/Relief w.e.f. July, 2019 will be 16% some chance to be 16% Probability of increase in 7th CPC DA/DR w.e.f. July, 2019 - 4% or 5% | |||||||||
6th CPC Dearness Allowance/Relief w.e.f. July, 2019 will be 163% some chance to be 164% Probability of increase in 6th CPC DA/DR w.e.f. July, 2019 - 9% or 10% |
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You may also download/save the excel sheet for self calculation. The link for excel sheet is given below:
DOWNLOAD: EXCEL FILE FOR EXPECTED DEARNESS CALCULATION TO CALCULATE YOURSELF [click on File-Menu & download]